This project aims to determine the greatest home run hitter of all time by comparing each slugger’s statistics to the average of their era using three formulas. The final adjusted stats will then be used to compare them head-to-head with other all-time greats.
Sammy Sosa will be the next legendary MLB slugger examined in this study. For a detailed biography of Sosa, please click here.
Before analyzing Sosa's career numbers, it's essential to recognize his accomplishments as a hitter. Let's examine his rankings in key hitting statistics throughout his career. Sosa appeared on the MLB leaderboards in the following categories:
2001: #4 (.437)
1998: #3 (.647)
1999: #4 (.635)
2000: #9 (.634)
2001: #2 (.737)
2002: #9 (.594)
1998: #5 (1.024)
1999: #9 (1.002)
2000: #9 (1.040)
2001: #2 (1.174)
2002: #10 (.993)
1998: #1 (134)
2001: #1 (146)
2002: #4 (122)
1998: #9 (198)
1998: #1 (416)
1999: #1 (397)
2000: #2 (383)
2001: #1 (425)
1990: #3 (10)
1994: #10 (6)
1995: #8 (36)
1998: #2 (66)
1999: #2 (63)
2000: #1 (50)
2001: #2 (64)
2002: #3 (49)
2003: #10 (40)
1998: #6 (86)
1999: #1 (89)
2000: #3 (89)
2001: #3 (103)
2001: #3 (116)
2002: #10 (103)
1998: #4 (149)
1999: #10 (140)
2000: #5 (157)
2001: #2 (193)
2002: #9 (135)
2000: #10 (286)
2001: #4 (311)
1996: #7 (12.45)
1998: #2 (9.74)
1999: #2 (9.92)
2000: #6 (12.08)
2001: #2 (9.02)
2002: #4 (11.35)
2003: #6 (12.93)
2004: #8 (13.66)
Now that we have a clear understanding of Sosa's accomplishments, we can proceed with the career analysis. According to Baseball Reference, Sosa’s official statistics reveal a total of 609 home runs over 8,813 at-bats resulting in an average of at-bats per home run 14.47 (AB/HR).
Sammy Sosa played in the American League (AL) from 1989 to 1991, as well as in 2005 and 2007. The majority of his career, however, was spent in the National League (NL) from 1992 to 2004.
When aggregating the statistics from each of the seasons Sosa competed in, the league totals include 1,429,580 at-bats and 40,770 home runs, resulting in an average of 35.06 at-bats per home run (AB/HR).
With this data, we can evaluate how Sosa’s performance compared to the average NL/AL hitter of his era.
Raw Difference: 20.59
Formula: League Average – Player Career AverageImprovement Factor: 2.42x
Formula: League Average / Player Career AveragePercentage Difference: 58.73%
Formula: (League Average – Player Career Average) / League Average × 100%
AB/HR
Sosa hit a home run roughly once every 14.47 at-bats, a remarkable rate for any era. It highlights his elite power-hitting ability. Across Sosa’s career span, the combined AL/NL average was one home run every 35.06 at-bats.
Raw Difference
Sosa’s AB/HR was 20.59 at-bats better than the league average, a substantial gap.
Improvement Factor
Sosa was 2.42 times more efficient at hitting home runs than the average hitter of his time. This multiplier underscores his dominance.
Percentage Difference
Sosa’s AB/HR was 58.73% better than the league average, showing he significantly outperformed his peers.
Sosa’s 14.47 AB/HR places him among the game’s all-time great sluggers, his performance stands out even in the high-octane environment of the steroid era.
A 2.42x improvement factor and nearly 59% better-than-average performance show Sosa wasn’t just good—he was exceptional compared to his contemporaries. These stats cement Sosa’s legacy as one of baseball’s most prolific sluggers, particularly during his NL years with the Chicago Cubs, where he made his biggest mark.
In our initial case study, we analyzed the careers of prominent Japanese and Negro League sluggers, alongside MLB greats Mickey Mantle, Alex Rodriguez, and Joe DiMaggio for comparison.
Now, let's compare Sosa’s career statistics against these baseball legends to gain a clearer perspective on how he stacks up.
Statistical Orbit
Sosa's career statistics (20.59/2.42x/58.73%) closely resemble those of Negro League legends Wilson Redus and Rap Dixon, as well as Japanese League icons Makoto Kozuru and Kazuhiro Kiyohara.
Wilson Redus (49.64/2.54x/60.63%)
Rap Dixon (45.34/2.69x/62.87%)
Makoto Kozuru (42.23/2.58x/61.27%)
Kazuhiro Kiyohara (19.09/2.28x/56.13%)
While Sosa's greatness and widespread recognition are unquestionable, this highlights the exceptional achievements of these Negro League and Japanese League legends.
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Sosa had extraordinary talent. Natural talent. His PED usage will always bring a damper on what he could have done clean. Saw him upclose when he came to the Orioles. Had power in BP, but zip pop in actual games. Then goes on to Texas and hits 30 bombs.